49ERS STADIUM: All the publicity on the 49ers stadium lately has focused on the attitude of Santa Clara voters, but that’s almost irrelevant. Any stadium is all about money, and this is certainly no exception.
The 49ers’ plan depends on a public-private combination, which is why they need Santa Clara ’s involvement. Though the G3 program has paid out all the money in it, everybody around the NFL assumes that it will be replenished before the 49ers would need it for their stadium. The program provides that the league would “loan” a team up to $150 million for a new stadium. It’s really a gift, not a loan, because the money is re-paid out of the visitors’ share of the gate.
The Santa Clara contribution will be small, less than 20 per cent of the total cost of the stadium, so the 49ers will be on the hook for at least $500 million. Who’s going to pay that? Not Denise DeBartolo. She’s a smart businesswoman who knows the only way to recoup that investment would be by selling the team, which her husband, John York, doesn’t want to do. That’s the only reason they still own the team.
If the team is in the playoffs and in serious competition for a Super Bowl berth, other economic possibilities open up. PSLs, for instance, and private investment.
Winning is always important, but it’s especially vital to the 49ers right now.
DRAFTNIKS: The NFL draft is great fun, but you always have to remember that everybody in the media is guessing, and I include myself in that. The crucial point: Nobody who isn’t in a team’s organization ever sees the team’s board, which shows how the decision-makers rate the players and the team’s needs. Mel Kuiper Jr. has made a living out of doing this and he talks to a lot of NFL people, but all that means is that he gets lied to a lot.
The 49ers picked up another player who fell, USC safety Taylor Mays, and there are all sorts of wild stories coming out of Los Angeles from Trojan alums. Among them: Pete Carroll talked Mays out of leaving as a junior, costing him untold millions because he would have been a No. 5 pick last year; Carroll badmouthed Mays this year, saying he wasn’t good in pass coverage, and that reputation lingered.
To take them in order: The top five projection last year was simply a guess; see above. I saw speculation he would go as high as six or seven this year. There’s no reason to think he wouldn’t have fallen last year as he did this year.
The second claim is even sillier. The only reason Carroll would have badmouthed Mays is to pick him up after clubs had passed on him, but when he was available on the second round, Carroll passed on him.
And I can tell you, after years of experience with NFL front offices, the last thing NFL teams listen to is a coach’s evaluation of his players, which is always biased. They make their own evaluations, mainly from watching hours of video.They also judge players in context: Mays played with some very good teammates, which always makes a player look better.
I don’t know why he fell but I think the Niners may have gotten a steal. And if he’s determined to show that those who passed on him were wrong, so much the better.